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“It looks all the same to me”: cross-index training for long-term financial series prediction

  • Stanislav Selitskiy
Research Output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding Conference contribution Peer-review

Abstract

We investigate a number of Artificial Neural Network architectures (well-known and more “exotic”) in application to the long-term financial time-series forecasts of indexes on different global markets. The particular area of interest of this research is to examine the correlation of these indexes’ behaviour in terms of Machine Learning algorithms cross-training. Would training an algorithm on an index from one global market produce similar or even better accuracy when such a model is applied for predicting another index from a different market? The demonstrated predominately positive answer to this question is another argument in favour of the long-debated Efficient Market Hypothesis of Eugene Fama.

Publication Information

Output type

Research Output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding Conference contribution Peer-review

Original language

English

Pages from-to (Number of pages)

Pages 348-363 (16 pages)

Publication milestones

  • Published - 16/04/2024

Publication status

Published - 16/04/2024

Publisher

Springer, Japan, India, Australia, Germany, United States, United Arab Emirates, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, China, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Brazil, France, Singapore

Publication series

  • Publication series name: Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
    ISSN (Print): 0302-9743
    ISSN (Electronic): 1611-3349
    Volume: 14505 LNCS
9783031539688

External Publication IDs

  • Scopus: 85187646431

Host publication title

Machine Learning, Optimization, and Data Science - 9th International Conference, LOD 2023

Host publication editors

  • Giuseppe Nicosia
  • Varun Ojha
  • Emanuele La Malfa
  • Gabriele La Malfa
  • Panos M. Pardalos
  • Renato Umeton