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Explicit model memorisation to fight forgetting in time-series prediction

  • Stanislav Selitskiy
Research Output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding Conference contribution Peer-review

Abstract

The catastrophic forgetting of the previously learned patterns during continuous life-long re-training of the models is a well-known machine learning problem. We propose an explicit model memorization algorithm for a given input data pattern. Future predictions are made by the fittest model in the accumulated library for the given new input data. Selection of the fittest model is performed by the continuously retrained 'librarian' artificial neural network (ANN). Computational experiments are executed on 17 years of data for NASDAQ, DOW, NIKKEI, and DAX composite indexes for various ANN architectures and activation functions. Results demonstrated statistically significant improvement in the accuracy metrics of the explicit model memorization compared to the immediately preceding data training.

Publication Information

Output type

Research Output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding Conference contribution Peer-review

Original language

English

Pages from-to (Number of pages)

Pages 660-667 (8 pages)

Publication milestones

  • Published - 24/04/2024

Publication status

Published - 24/04/2024

Publisher

Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., United States

Publication series

  • Publication series name: Conference Proceedings - IEEE SOUTHEASTCON
    ISSN (Print): 1091-0050
    ISSN (Electronic): 1558-058X

ISBN (Electronic)

9798350317107

External Publication IDs

  • Scopus: 85191723886

Host publication title

SoutheastCon 2024