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“It looks all the same to me”: cross-index training for long-term financial series prediction

  • Stanislav Selitskiy

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

We investigate a number of Artificial Neural Network architectures (well-known and more “exotic”) in application to the long-term financial time-series forecasts of indexes on different global markets. The particular area of interest of this research is to examine the correlation of these indexes’ behaviour in terms of Machine Learning algorithms cross-training. Would training an algorithm on an index from one global market produce similar or even better accuracy when such a model is applied for predicting another index from a different market? The demonstrated predominately positive answer to this question is another argument in favour of the long-debated Efficient Market Hypothesis of Eugene Fama.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationMachine Learning, Optimization, and Data Science - 9th International Conference, LOD 2023
EditorsGiuseppe Nicosia, Varun Ojha, Emanuele La Malfa, Gabriele La Malfa, Panos M. Pardalos, Renato Umeton
PublisherSpringer
Pages348-363
Number of pages16
ISBN (Print)9783031539688
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Apr 2024
Event9th International Conference on Machine Learning, Optimization, and Data Science, LOD 2023 - Grasmere, United Kingdom
Duration: 22 Sept 202326 Sept 2023

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume14505 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference9th International Conference on Machine Learning, Optimization, and Data Science, LOD 2023
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityGrasmere
Period22/09/2326/09/23

Keywords

  • cross-training
  • Efficient Market Hypothesis
  • neural networks

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Theoretical Computer Science
  • General Computer Science

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